It’s really unlikely someone’s going to break into my house. What other unlikely things are you prepared for? Do you carry a snake bite kit around with you? A lightning rod? Why is it that out of all the random shit that can happen to anyone, you think it’s all-important to be prepared for just this one?
I don’t think a snake bit kit would have worked.
Well if I’m camping in a place where snakes frequent, I bring a snake bite kit.
Wouldn’t carrying a lighting rod increase the threat of being struck by lightning?
Well, owning a gun increases your chances of being shot, so it seems a pretty apt parallel.
That falsehood was proven incorrect in the 1980s. The study that claimed to indicate that took a sample of people in poor and crime ridden areas of cities who had been shot and asked them if they owned a gun. Then because people who are likely victims of crime and have any brain at all will purchase a means of self defense, the false connection between gun ownership and being shot was fabricated by the study organizers. There are entire cities worth of people who have owned firearms for generations and never been shot.
Owning a firearm does not in any sense increase your odds of being shot.
NEEDING to own a firearm for self defense because you live in a crime ridden area is a false correlation.
Back to the original post… Why is it so unlikely that someone would break into your house? You have a 1 in 300 chance of being a victim of violent crime. That contrasts with a 1 in 4 million chance of being struck by lightning. Slightly less than 8000 people are bitten by venomous snakes in the United States every year. Over one million, two hundred thousand people are victims of rape or murder or violent criminal assault leading to grievous bodily harm or violent robbery every year in the United States. One million two hundred thousand, when the total population is in the area of three hundred twenty million as per the census. That means that you have an approximate one in three hundred chance of being murdered or raped or violently assaulted or having your home broken into. If the lottery had odds like that, I would drop a paycheck on it once a month. Now granted you might have armed security protecting your house. Which means that guns are keeping you safe. Or maybe you have a higher police presence in your area. Which means that guns are keeping you safe.
The data presented in Crime in the United States reflect the Hierarchy Rule, which requires that only the most serious offense in a multiple-offense criminal incident be counted. The descending order of UCR violent crimes are murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault, followed by the property crimes of burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft. Although arson is also a property crime, the Hierarchy Rule does not apply to the offense of arson. In cases in which an arson occurs in conjunction with another violent or property crime, both the arson and the additional crime are reported.
__****Please note that the above paragraph indicates that even the FBI reports are not complete and all-inclusive as they only record the most serious of a given set of crimes in a given instance. So there might have been multiple rapes and assaults but one murder so the murder was the only thing recorded for that instance of crime
In 2012, an estimated 1,214,462 violent crimes occurred nationwide, an increase of 0.7 percent from the 2011 estimate. When considering 5- and 10-year trends, the 2012 estimated violent crime total was 12.9 percent below the 2008 level and 12.2 below the 2003 level. (See Tables 1 and 1A.) There were an estimated 386.9 violent crimes per 100,000 inhabitants in 2012, a rate that remained virtually unchanged when compared to the 2011 estimated rate. (See Tables 1 and 1A.) Aggravated assaults accounted for 62.6 percent of violent crimes reported to law enforcement in 2012. Robbery offenses accounted for 29.2 percent of violent crime offenses; rape accounted for 6.9 percent; and murder accounted for 1.2 percent. (Based on Table 1.) Information collected regarding types of weapons used in violent crime showed that firearms were used in 69.3 percent of the nation’s murders, 41.0 percent of robberies, and 21.8 percent of aggravated assaults. (Weapons data are not collected for forcible rape.) (See Expanded Homicide Data Table 7, Robbery Table 3, and the Aggravated Assault Table.)
DATING TIP: Hold the door for your date. Rip the door off its hinges. Use the door as a weapon to fight off other men. Establish dominance.
"AK47s are inaccurate and shitty communist weapons."
"AR-15? Lol, enjoy your jams."
"9mm won’t even kill you"
"…just like in Call of Duty."
"Plastic guns are trash"
"If you can’t do it in one shot, you don’t need a gun"
Is there any chance you yourself are a time traveller?
It’s too early but I laughed louder than I should have
Happy 68th birthday to the consistently fabulous Alan Rickman!
Reblog if your cramps have ever
- made you vomit
- lasted between 2-3 days
- stopped you from being able to walk or run
- made you cry
It’s not considered a viable excuse on any occasion, and I would like to know why.
- woken you up at night the pain was so bad
- made you pass out
- made you unable to stand up without doubling over and grabbing onto the closest object for support